{"id":1813,"date":"2026-03-09T18:57:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:57:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/soberano.news\/?p=1813"},"modified":"2026-03-09T18:58:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:58:05","slug":"oil-at-us-100-stock-markets-falling-and-bitcoin-rising-whats-happening","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/soberano.news\/en\/dinheiro-e-patrimonio\/petroleo-a-us-100-bolsas-em-queda-e-o-bitcoin-subindo-o-que-esta-acontecendo\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil at US$ 100, stock markets falling and Bitcoin rising. What's going on?"},"content":{"rendered":"

On Sunday, March 8, oil exceeded US$ 100 a barrel for the first time since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. On Monday morning (9), Brent reached US$ 108, and American oil reached US$ 115.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The context is the military escalation between the US, Israel and Iran, which began on February 28. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, the route through which transits approximately 20% of all the world's oil<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Refineries in the region have been hit by Israeli attacks, and countries like the UAE and Kuwait have already reduced production. The supply shock is described by analysts as the most acute in decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In response to rising prices, President Trump said<\/a> in Truth Social that this is a \u201csmall price to pay\u201d for global security, projecting that prices will \u201cfall rapidly\u201d after the end of the conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Oil
Oil price, data from Investing.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The reaction of traditional markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The opening of the markets on Monday reflected the climate of uncertainty. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 fell by more than 1.5%. Gold, historically sought as a store of value in times of crisis, fell 1.6%. Silver fell by 1.1%. The US dollar appreciated against the main currencies, a move typical of periods of risk aversion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The scenario puts central banks in a delicate position. More expensive energy puts pressure on inflation, which was already a challenge before the conflict. Keeping interest rates high to contain this pressure, on the other hand, reduces global liquidity and weighs on economic growth. The European Central Bank has warned that a prolonged conflict could combine higher inflation with weaker growth, one of the most difficult scenarios for monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin's behavior<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

While traditional assets retreated, Bitcoin registered an increase of 2.8% since midnight UTC on Monday, a behavior that caught the attention of analysts from the Coindesk<\/a>, This is because the asset is usually classified as part of the risk class and tends to fall in times of generalized aversion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It wasn't always like this in this cycle. When the attacks on Iran began at the end of February, BTC reached fall below US$ 64 thousand<\/a>. The recovery, however, was relatively quick, and since then Bitcoin has remained in the range of US$ 67 to 70 thousand, without keeping up with the downward pressure seen on the stock exchanges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analysts point to a number of hypotheses to explain this behavior:<\/p>\n\n\n\n